2/5 Lesson 5.2.4 Probability Tables

1.  Warm-up:

a)  Get your computer, open the eBook to Lesson 5.2.2
b)  Copy the number line (side whiteboard) into your notebook

2.  Pass back quizzes

3.  Play Ten O's game

4.  Lesson 5.2.4 Probability Tables

• Objective:  I will create a probability table to help me organize all of the possible outcomes
• Problem #55: Examine a list
• There has to be a better way!...Probability Tables
• Problems #58, 59: Design your own Probability Tables

2/4 Double Quiz + Finish Lesson 5.2.2

1.  Double Quiz

2.  Lesson 5.2.2

• I will estimate the probability of complex events by using computer simulations
• Instructions for Problems 36 and 37:
• Read the situation
• Make a conjecture (prediction).  Discuss predictions with your team
• Design a computer simulation (Resource Manager only!)
• Gather and record data.  The more the better!
• Write a conclusion statement
• Input your data in Google Classroom

Homework:  5.2.2 R/P #39, 40, 42

2/3 Lesson 5.2.3 & Quiz Study TIme

1.  Warm-up:
Copy the following definitions into the "CLASSWORK" section of your notebook.

Compound event:  A probability experiment with 2 or more events  (ex: rolling 2 number cubes)

Independent events:  One event DOES NOT affect the outcome of another event  (ex:  rolling 2 number cubes)

Dependent events:  One event DOES affect the outcome of another event (ex:  drawing a card, not replacing it, then drawing another card)

2.  Lesson 5.2.3  Introduction to Compound Events

• Problem 47: 4 minutes to discuss in teams
• Problem 44:  Is "rock-paper-scissors" a fair game?  Prove it mathematically
• Dojo Challenge: Problem 46

3.  Algebra Tiles / Percent Quiz Practice (CPM Chapter 5.1 Review)

Homework:  Prepare for Quiz by completing CPM Chapter 5.1 Review and Ch. 5 Closure #149 and 154

2/2 Lesson 5.2.3 Introduction to Compound Events

1.  Warm-up:  Do the following probability statements represent Theoretical probability or Experimental probability?  Justify your decision.

a)  Jason notices that a number cube has 6 sides.  3 of the sides are odd, and 3 are even.  Therefore, he declares that P(odd) = 50%

b)  Paola is randomly picking colored blocks from a bag, recording the color, and replacing it in the bag.  After 50 trials, she has chosen 10 red blocks.  She concludes P(red) = 10/50 or 1/5

c)  Georgia wants to play the Prime number game.  (remember, our warm-up from yesterday?)  She uses a random number generator 10 times and records the results.  6 of those results are prime, so she decides to be the prime number player because it appears more likely.

d)  A college professor uses advanced probability concepts to explain why you have a 62.5% chance of receiving all 3 ponies if you visit McBurger's 5 times.

2.  Pass back Algebra Tiles/ Percent Quiz

3.  Double Quiz on Thursday.

   

  Algebra Tiles:

• Perimeter and Area
• Simplifying expressions (zero pairs)

   Percent and proportions

4.  Lesson 5.2.3  Introduction to Compound Events

• Objective:  I will examine the probability of compound events and determine if they are dependent or independent
• Problems 43 through 46 in teams: Team Consensus Checkmarks
• Today, it is important that you read the problems out loud so everyone can hear

Homework:  Lesson 5.2.3 R/P #50-52

2/1 Lesson 5.2.2 Using Computer Simulations to Estimate Probability

1.  Warm-up:  Investigate the following game

A number between 1 and 20 will be randomly generated.

Player X wins if the number is PRIME.
  Player Y wins if the number is not prime.

a)  Make a list of all the prime numbers between 1 and 20 (1 is NOT a prime number)

b)  What is P(prime)?    Hint:  Use your answer from a) and the total # of possible outcomes

c)  If you played this game 40 times, how many times would you expect Player X to win?  What if you played it 50 times?

d)  Play the game with a partner.  Decide who will be Player X and Player Y.  Record the results of each game.

e)  Do the results of your games reflect what you THOUGHT was going to happen?

2.  Lesson 5.2.2 Computer Simulations and Probability

• Problem 35: McBurgers action figures
• Create a data table
• Record data
• Analyze data and make an estimate
• Google Form in Classroom
• Problem 36 in teams.  Design an experiment similar to problem 35

Homework:  Lesson 5.2.2 R/P #38, 41 only!