2/1 Lesson 5.2.2 Using Computer Simulations to Estimate Probability

1.  Warm-up:  Investigate the following game

A number between 1 and 20 will be randomly generated.

Player X wins if the number is PRIME.
  Player Y wins if the number is not prime.

a)  Make a list of all the prime numbers between 1 and 20 (1 is NOT a prime number)

b)  What is P(prime)?    Hint:  Use your answer from a) and the total # of possible outcomes

c)  If you played this game 40 times, how many times would you expect Player X to win?  What if you played it 50 times?

d)  Play the game with a partner.  Decide who will be Player X and Player Y.  Record the results of each game.

e)  Do the results of your games reflect what you THOUGHT was going to happen?

2.  Lesson 5.2.2 Computer Simulations and Probability

• Problem 35: McBurgers action figures
• Create a data table
• Record data
• Analyze data and make an estimate
• Google Form in Classroom
• Problem 36 in teams.  Design an experiment similar to problem 35

Homework:  Lesson 5.2.2 R/P #38, 41 only!